Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.001837 0.001945 0.002057 0.002181 0.002315 0.002456 0.002616
2025-05-18 0.001674 0.001826 0.001990 0.002180 0.002395 0.002632 0.002912
2025-05-25 0.001535 0.001712 0.001909 0.002143 0.002417 0.002729 0.003115
2025-06-01 0.001438 0.001632 0.001853 0.002123 0.002448 0.002830 0.003317
2025-06-08 0.001376 0.001586 0.001829 0.002135 0.002511 0.002966 0.003565
2025-06-15 0.001307 0.001527 0.001785 0.002116 0.002532 0.003047 0.003744
2025-06-22 0.001253 0.001480 0.001752 0.002106 0.002561 0.003137 0.003935
2025-06-29 0.001199 0.001431 0.001713 0.002085 0.002572 0.003201 0.004094
2025-07-06 0.001148 0.001383 0.001672 0.002058 0.002573 0.003250 0.004232
2025-07-13 0.001089 0.001322 0.001611 0.002003 0.002532 0.003238 0.004283
2025-07-20 0.001062 0.001300 0.001599 0.002010 0.002574 0.003340 0.004498
2025-07-27 0.001041 0.001285 0.001596 0.002028 0.002630 0.003464 0.004753
2025-08-03 0.001030 0.001285 0.001613 0.002078 0.002739 0.003674 0.005162
2025-08-10 0.001003 0.001262 0.001600 0.002085 0.002786 0.003800 0.005452
2025-08-17 0.000963 0.001220 0.001559 0.002051 0.002773 0.003834 0.005601
2025-08-24 0.000931 0.001188 0.001530 0.002033 0.002781 0.003899 0.005801
2025-08-31 0.000912 0.001172 0.001522 0.002044 0.002833 0.004034 0.006127
2025-09-07 0.000884 0.001143 0.001496 0.002026 0.002838 0.004096 0.006333
2025-09-14 0.000860 0.001120 0.001476 0.002017 0.002857 0.004178 0.006581
2025-09-21 0.000835 0.001093 0.001449 0.001997 0.002857 0.004230 0.006775
2025-09-28 0.000809 0.001065 0.001421 0.001972 0.002847 0.004264 0.006940
2025-10-05 0.000777 0.001026 0.001375 0.001920 0.002791 0.004218 0.006950
2025-10-12 0.000763 0.001014 0.001368 0.001926 0.002831 0.004335 0.007280